Marbella FC vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
MEL
2 - 2
MAR
50%
27%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
JER
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MER
2 - 1
MAR
53%
26%
21%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 1
LOJ
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
BAZ
0 - 2
MAR
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
RJA
1 - 0
CDL
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
AGD
1 - 0
RJA
50%
27%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
RJA
1 - 1
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
MOR
0 - 1
RJA
35%
29%
37%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
RJA
3 - 1
TOR
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |