Marbella FC vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
SFE
2 - 1
MAR
33%
29%
39%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
UBC
40%
27%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
MAR
30%
30%
40%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
G74
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ROQ
1 - 0
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 1
CAD
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
BET
3 - 1
MEL
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
ANT
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
MEL
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
PUE
2 - 0
MEL
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |