Lanzarote vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
COT
2 - 2
LAN
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 0
HCF
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
PAN
4 - 5
LAN
35%
26%
39%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LAN
0 - 2
UDS
43%
25%
32%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 4
LAN
22%
25%
53%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
VSB
27%
24%
50%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
YAI
1 - 3
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
SDT
30%
24%
46%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CSU
4 - 1
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
EST
3 - 1
UDL
33%
26%
41%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |