Gran Tarajal vs Arucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
12º
16º
15º
36
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Tarajal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LPA
2 - 0
UDG
73%
17%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
UDG
2 - 1
VSB
26%
23%
50%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LAN
2 - 0
UDG
65%
21%
14%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UDG
2 - 2
CDM
19%
23%
59%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
UDG
57%
23%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
UPR
0 - 0
ARU
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ARU
1 - 1
LPA
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
VSB
0 - 1
ARU
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ARU
1 - 4
LAN
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 1
ARU
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |