Cebarca vs Moeche ADC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.9%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8%
3.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cebarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 1
CEB
46%
21%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CEB
3 - 4
GAL
56%
19%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CUL
1 - 1
CEB
7%
13%
80%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CEB
6 - 0
MON
93%
5%
2%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
XCA
0 - 5
CEB
8%
15%
78%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Moeche ADC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MOE
3 - 4
AMM
55%
20%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
RAP
2 - 0
MOE
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MOE
0 - 1
BAR
40%
22%
38%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
NOF
2 - 4
MOE
22%
18%
59%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MOE
3 - 1
VIL
70%
16%
15%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |