UD Castros vs Puerto Vega B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LES
0 - 3
CAS
44%
22%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
CDP
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MCU
4 - 0
CAS
59%
21%
20%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
AST
7%
14%
79%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
RPR
4 - 0
CAS
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Vega B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
3 - 0
AVI
11%
16%
73%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
PUE
61%
20%
19%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 1
CRN
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BOA
2 - 0
PUE
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 5
HIS
20%
20%
60%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |