Ud Carral vs Orillamar SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ud Carral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
EST
0 - 6
UDC
7%
15%
79%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
UDC
1 - 1
SDC
63%
18%
19%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CED
0 - 2
UDC
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
UDC
2 - 1
CAM
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MIN
0 - 2
UDC
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Orillamar SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ORI
2 - 4
OLI
22%
22%
56%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
VIC
3 - 1
ORI
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 1
OVA
49%
23%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ORI
3 - 1
ORT
75%
14%
11%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 2
ORI
56%
21%
23%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |