UD Bellavista vs Villafranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Bellavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
UDM
3 - 0
UDB
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
UDB
1 - 0
ASJ
34%
25%
42%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 1
UDB
80%
13%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
UDB
0 - 1
LCF
46%
24%
30%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CDP
1 - 2
UDB
48%
22%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Villafranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 3
MOR
32%
23%
44%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SOL
4 - 1
VIL
45%
24%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 1
LIA
84%
10%
6%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
UDT
4 - 0
VIL
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
ROC
41%
25%
34%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |