1ª Auto. Castilla-La Mancha Round 16

U.D. Alpera vs Atlético Ibañés analysis

U.D. Alpera Atlético Ibañés
13 ELO 10
18.8% Tilt -3.2%
15207º General ELO ranking 12863º
3539º Country ELO ranking 1907º
ELO win probability
69.4%
U.D. Alpera
16.9%
Draw
13.8%
Atlético Ibañés

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
U.D. Alpera
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.8%
Win probability
Atlético Ibañés
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
U.D. Alpera
-10%
-3%
Atlético Ibañés

ELO progression

U.D. Alpera
Atlético Ibañés
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

U.D. Alpera
U.D. Alpera
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 2024
ALP
U.D. Alpera
1 - 2
Balona Conquense
BCO
81%
12%
7%
13 9 4 0
17 Dec. 2023
CVA
Cultural Valdeganga
0 - 0
U.D. Alpera
ALP
78%
13%
8%
13 20 7 0
09 Dec. 2023
HIG
Higueruela
3 - 1
U.D. Alpera
ALP
30%
22%
48%
14 11 3 -1
02 Dec. 2023
ALP
U.D. Alpera
1 - 1
Olimpico Madrigueras
OMA
53%
21%
26%
14 15 1 0
26 Nov. 2023
AJA
Atletico Jareño
1 - 3
U.D. Alpera
ALP
36%
23%
42%
13 11 2 +1

Matches

Atlético Ibañés
Atlético Ibañés
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2024
HIG
Higueruela
1 - 0
Atlético Ibañés
ATL
71%
16%
12%
11 14 3 0
16 Dec. 2023
ATL
Atlético Ibañés
2 - 1
Olimpico Madrigueras
OMA
32%
24%
45%
10 14 4 +1
09 Dec. 2023
AJA
Atletico Jareño
0 - 0
Atlético Ibañés
ATL
54%
22%
24%
10 10 0 0
03 Dec. 2023
ATL
Atlético Ibañés
3 - 2
Cristo Minglanilla
CMG
19%
21%
61%
9 15 6 +1
26 Nov. 2023
MAN
CD Manchego Provencio
2 - 2
Atlético Ibañés
ATL
75%
16%
9%
9 15 6 0