Alar vs San Telmo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
21%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CER
4 - 1
ALA
83%
11%
7%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALA
4 - 0
VIL
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
JUA
0 - 3
ALA
23%
20%
58%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
ALA
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ALA
2 - 1
CPB
31%
22%
48%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
TEL
1 - 0
CPB
21%
20%
59%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
TEL
77%
13%
9%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
FRO
2 - 1
TEL
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 4
TEL
29%
22%
50%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TEL
3 - 2
AST
23%
22%
55%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |