Ukraine U21 vs Bulgaria U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
UKR
3 - 0
NIR
76%
17%
8%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
MLT
1 - 4
UKR
9%
17%
74%
|
65 | 28 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
NIR
1 - 0
UKR
13%
20%
67%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
UKR
1 - 0
ROU
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
FIN
0 - 2
UKR
17%
22%
62%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
BGR
3 - 0
EST
74%
18%
8%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
POL
1 - 1
BGR
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
BGR
1 - 0
LVA
68%
21%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
SRB
1 - 2
BGR
67%
20%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
RUS
2 - 0
BGR
73%
17%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |