UCF vs Tulsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
23%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
UCF
1 - 1
SMU
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
MPH
0 - 3
UCF
9%
15%
76%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
UCF
2 - 1
SMU
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SFB
0 - 1
UCF
22%
21%
57%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
UCF
4 - 0
TMP
67%
17%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
TUL
1 - 1
TMP
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
TUL
1 - 0
SFB
73%
16%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
SMU
3 - 0
TUL
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
TMP
4 - 1
TUL
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -3 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
TUL
2 - 1
SMU
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |