UCAM Murcia vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BET
1 - 0
UCA
22%
28%
50%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
UCA
1 - 1
CDB
79%
16%
6%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 2
UCA
39%
30%
32%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
UCA
0 - 2
CAR
62%
24%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
JUM
1 - 2
UCA
17%
29%
54%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LOR
0 - 0
MEL
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CDE
5 - 1
LOR
59%
22%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 1
REC
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ECI
2 - 0
LOR
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
HER
2 - 1
LOR
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -1 |