UC La Estrella vs CP Valdivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
UCL
35%
26%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
UCL
1 - 1
EMD
41%
24%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 2
UCL
14%
21%
65%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
UCL
3 - 1
UDF
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CDB
0 - 1
UCL
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CP Valdivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAM
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
OLY
0 - 2
VAL
22%
25%
54%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
VAL
4 - 1
CDT
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 1
VER
61%
22%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ORE
0 - 1
VAL
12%
21%
67%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |