UC Cartes vs SD Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
16º
13º
26
8º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Cartes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TEX
2 - 0
CAR
54%
24%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ESC
3 - 0
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
TRO
11%
16%
74%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 0
CAR
59%
23%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAS
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 2
CAY
18%
23%
60%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 1
MAR
19%
22%
60%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
REV
3 - 0
GAM
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GAM
0 - 1
SOL
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CUL
2 - 0
GAM
40%
25%
35%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |