AlbinoLeffe vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
ABN
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ABN
2 - 2
VIC
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FRO
2 - 1
ABN
36%
27%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
ABN
0 - 0
MOD
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
PES
2 - 0
ABN
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 0
NOV
34%
30%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 0
SAS
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 0
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 1
VAR
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |