AlbinoLeffe vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
POR
1 - 4
ABN
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ABN
1 - 2
ACL
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 1
ABN
22%
26%
52%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ABN
1 - 1
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
REG
1 - 1
ABN
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
PAV
2 - 2
TRA
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
USC
0 - 1
PAV
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PAV
2 - 2
LEC
10%
21%
69%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CUN
2 - 0
PAV
26%
27%
48%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PAV
2 - 0
TRE
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |