Uberlândia vs Itabirito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uberlândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
AMF
2 - 0
UBE
88%
9%
3%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
UBE
0 - 1
DEM
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 1
PAT
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
TOM
2 - 2
UBE
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BET
0 - 1
UBE
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Itabirito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
POA
2 - 0
IFC
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 0
AMF
5%
13%
82%
|
41 | 85 | 44 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 2
VIL
30%
25%
46%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 3
IFC
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BOA
0 - 2
IFC
39%
24%
38%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |