Lebrijana vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebrijana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 3
LEB
36%
27%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LEB
2 - 0
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 1
LEB
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CCF
1 - 0
LEB
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
LEB
1 - 0
CCF
32%
27%
41%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 1
FER
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDZ
0 - 1
CAS
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 3
ROC
40%
23%
36%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CCF
1 - 0
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 0
CCF
41%
26%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |