UB Conquense vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
5º
13º
7º
42
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
UBC
0 - 0
ATT
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LSO
0 - 4
UBC
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UBC
0 - 0
TOR
31%
26%
44%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CSP
0 - 0
UBC
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UBC
1 - 0
VIL
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CDT
1 - 1
LSO
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 1
CDT
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CDT
1 - 2
CSP
37%
25%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDT
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CDT
2 - 0
AZU
55%
23%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |