Segunda B Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
UB Conquense vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ATB
0 - 2
UBC
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
UBC
3 - 0
GET
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
UBC
1 - 1
CPC
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CER
0 - 2
UBC
21%
25%
55%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
UBC
2 - 0
DEP
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
LMU
1 - 0
CAU
42%
28%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAU
3 - 0
ATH
31%
28%
42%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
CAU
47%
26%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAU
0 - 2
OVI
31%
29%
40%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SPB
0 - 2
CAU
51%
26%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |