UAI Urquiza vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UAI Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SMG
0 - 1
UAI
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
TAL
1 - 1
UAI
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
UAI
2 - 3
COM
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
ARM
2 - 1
UAI
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
UAI
1 - 1
VSC
41%
29%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MER
0 - 1
COM
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
MER
1 - 0
ARM
45%
27%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
VSC
0 - 0
MER
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
MER
1 - 1
CAD
27%
27%
47%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 5
MER
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |