Tynecastle vs Penicuik Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
72.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tynecastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TYN
1 - 3
NEW
75%
14%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
TYN
5 - 1
CAM
55%
20%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 3
TYN
66%
17%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
TYN
2 - 1
BLU
75%
14%
11%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 2
TYN
70%
16%
15%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Penicuik Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
4 - 0
WHI
91%
7%
2%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
HBH
88%
9%
3%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 3
PEN
15%
19%
66%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 3
TRA
45%
21%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
PEN
6%
13%
81%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | +1 |