Twente / Heracles Sub 21 vs NEC Nijmegen Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente / Heracles Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
THS
30%
22%
48%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
THS
2 - 0
GAE
64%
19%
18%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
THS
1 - 0
GRA
38%
22%
40%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FYN
1 - 4
THS
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
THS
5 - 2
GRO
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 4
GRO
25%
21%
54%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
VVV
3 - 5
NEC
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 5
DOR
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
EMM
0 - 2
NEC
20%
19%
61%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PEC
5 - 0
NEC
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |