Premier League . Jor. 24

Tusker FC vs AFC Leopards analysis

Tusker FC AFC Leopards
69 ELO 64
-20.6% Tilt -2%
1312º General ELO ranking 1690º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46%
Tusker FC
29%
Draw
24.9%
AFC Leopards

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
Tusker FC
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
24.9%
Win probability
AFC Leopards
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tusker FC
+7%
+13%
AFC Leopards

Points and table prediction

Tusker FC
Their league position
AFC Leopards
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
12º
47
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gor Mahia
67
71
100%
Tusker FC
56
60
58.5%
Police FC
54
60
57%
Bandari
48
52
24.5%
Nairobi City Stars
48
52
25%
AFC Leopards
47
51
20%
Kariobangi Sharks
44
48
12.5%
Kakamega Homeboyz
44
48
15.5%
Bidco United FC
10º
44
48
13.5%
Posta Rangers
46
47
10º
22.5%
KCB
11º
40
44
11º
60.5%
Ulinzi Stars
13º
36
40
12º
41%
Murang'a SEAL
12º
37
40
13º
40%
Sofapaka
14º
32
36
14º
59%
FC Talanta
15º
31
34
15º
52%
Shabana
16º
29
32
16º
56.5%
Muhoroni Youth
17º
28
31
17º
70%
Nzoia Sugar
18º
19
23
18º
98.5%
Expected probabilities
Tusker FC
AFC Leopards
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Tusker FC
AFC Leopards
Bandari
Posta Rangers
KCB
Shabana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tusker FC
Tusker FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2024
WAZ
Muhoroni Youth
1 - 2
Tusker FC
TUS
15%
24%
62%
68 49 19 0
25 Feb. 2024
BSF
Bumbani Stars
1 - 2
Tusker FC
TUS
5%
12%
82%
69 7 62 -1
18 Feb. 2024
TUS
Tusker FC
2 - 0
KCB
KCB
50%
28%
22%
68 63 5 +1
11 Feb. 2024
SHA
Shabana
0 - 4
Tusker FC
TUS
17%
23%
61%
68 15 53 0
03 Feb. 2024
TUS
Tusker FC
0 - 1
Bidco United FC
BFC
56%
26%
18%
69 58 11 -1

Matches

AFC Leopards
AFC Leopards
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2024
AFC
AFC Leopards
2 - 0
Nzoia Sugar
NZO
49%
28%
23%
64 57 7 0
25 Feb. 2024
PAC
PAC University
0 - 3
AFC Leopards
AFC
7%
15%
78%
64 7 57 0
18 Feb. 2024
KAK
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 - 0
AFC Leopards
AFC
45%
27%
28%
64 64 0 0
11 Feb. 2024
AFC
AFC Leopards
1 - 0
Murang'a SEAL
MUR
68%
22%
11%
64 17 47 0
04 Feb. 2024
KAS
Kariobangi Sharks
0 - 2
AFC Leopards
AFC
29%
28%
43%
64 54 10 0
X