TPS II vs TPK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
TPS
2 - 2
PEI
78%
14%
9%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
AIF
2 - 0
TPS
27%
22%
52%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
VGN
3 - 1
TPS
24%
21%
55%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
TPS
2 - 2
ALA
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
PII
2 - 1
TPS
65%
18%
18%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
TPK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
TPK
1 - 3
INT
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
PEI
1 - 1
TPK
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
PAI
2 - 2
TPK
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
TPK
1 - 0
AIF
34%
22%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
TPK
2 - 1
MAP
40%
23%
37%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |