Turkey U20 vs Croatia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
TUR
1 - 1
DNK
28%
23%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
UKR
1 - 0
TUR
61%
20%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 2
TUR
62%
21%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
TUR
1 - 2
ARG
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ECU
0 - 0
TUR
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
HRV
2 - 1
SVN
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
ITA
4 - 2
HRV
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
HUN
1 - 2
HRV
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
HRV
2 - 0
SVN
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
SVN
0 - 1
HRV
18%
22%
61%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |