KFC Turnhout vs KVC Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
54.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
17º
16º
46
3º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 52 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
49.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
58% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
82% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
82% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFC Turnhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KSC
2 - 4
TUR
69%
17%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 4
LYR
22%
22%
56%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LON
1 - 1
TUR
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 5
BOC
21%
23%
57%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TUR
3 - 4
KSC
41%
22%
37%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
KVC Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LIL
3 - 4
BWI
84%
10%
6%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PEP
1 - 1
LIL
22%
23%
56%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
RCL
2 - 4
LIL
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LIL
0 - 0
LON
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 4
LIL
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |