Turgutluspor vs Ergene Velimese Spor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
4º
4º
32
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
77.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turgutluspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
BAY
2 - 1
TUR
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 1
GUM
38%
27%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
AKS
3 - 0
TUR
70%
18%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
KUS
0 - 0
TUR
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TUR
4 - 1
KIR
38%
24%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Ergene Velimese Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
ERG
0 - 1
KBS
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
AKS
4 - 0
ERG
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ERG
3 - 0
KAH
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
1 - 1
ERG
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ERG
2 - 0
DAR
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |