Mineiro 2 Normal Season Round 4

Tupynambás vs Guarani MG analysis

Tupynambás Guarani MG
41 ELO 48
-1.3% Tilt -1.6%
38704º General ELO ranking 7379º
1191º Country ELO ranking 300º
ELO win probability
29.7%
Tupynambás
23.9%
Draw
46.4%
Guarani MG

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
Tupynambás
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.4%
Win probability
Guarani MG
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tupynambás
-45%
+10%
Guarani MG

ELO progression

Tupynambás
Guarani MG
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tupynambás
Tupynambás
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2017
FCB
CA Serranense
1 - 0
Tupynambás
TFC
35%
24%
41%
42 39 3 0
24 Feb. 2017
FEC
Formiga EC
0 - 3
Tupynambás
TFC
34%
22%
43%
41 37 4 +1
19 Feb. 2017
TFC
Tupynambás
0 - 2
Social
SOC
41%
24%
35%
42 44 2 -1

Matches

Guarani MG
Guarani MG
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2017
GUA
Guarani MG
3 - 0
Formiga EC
FEC
69%
20%
12%
48 35 13 0
25 Feb. 2017
FCB
CA Serranense
0 - 0
Guarani MG
GUA
26%
23%
51%
48 39 9 0
22 Feb. 2017
GUA
Guarani MG
0 - 2
Nacional de Muriae
NAC
53%
23%
24%
49 44 5 -1
10 Apr. 2016
GUA
Guarani MG
2 - 1
Villa Nova
VIL
55%
25%
20%
49 45 4 0
03 Apr. 2016
CRZ
Cruzeiro
2 - 0
Guarani MG
GUA
83%
13%
4%
49 85 36 0