Tupynambás vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupynambás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 1
GAM
14%
23%
63%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 2
TFC
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
TFC
0 - 0
CAL
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 2
TFC
39%
23%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
TFC
2 - 1
BAH
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
5 - 0
PAL
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
ALA
53%
24%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
BAH
1 - 1
BRA
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 1
BRA
65%
22%
13%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 1
CAL
56%
25%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |