Tupi vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CRZ
1 - 0
TUP
82%
14%
4%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
TUP
0 - 1
UBE
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AMF
3 - 0
TUP
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LON
0 - 0
TUP
47%
28%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TUP
0 - 0
LON
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
ATM
9%
19%
72%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
3 - 0
GUA
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
AMF
11%
20%
69%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
MAM
0 - 1
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
TUP
28%
27%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |