Tupã vs Fernandópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
TUP
0 - 3
VOC
30%
28%
43%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 0
TUP
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TAN
3 - 0
TUP
16%
19%
65%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TUP
3 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
TUP
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
FER
29%
25%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
TAN
46%
23%
32%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FER
2 - 5
VOC
30%
29%
42%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
FER
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
TUP
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |