Tuna Luso vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
TUN
1 - 1
ABA
65%
20%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
REM
4 - 0
TUN
63%
20%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
AGU
1 - 1
TUN
29%
25%
47%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CAS
2 - 0
TUN
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
TUN
0 - 0
BPA
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
REM
0 - 0
PAY
52%
22%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
PAY
1 - 0
NAU
41%
25%
35%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
ABA
1 - 2
PAY
24%
23%
53%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
VAC
2 - 1
PAY
16%
19%
65%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2007 |
PAY
3 - 1
PEC
81%
12%
7%
|
58 | 24 | 34 | 0 |