Tuna Luso vs Paragominas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
TUN
10%
15%
75%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TUN
2 - 2
IAC
58%
20%
22%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
AGU
3 - 2
TUN
8%
14%
79%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
TUN
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +20 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TUN
0 - 0
PAR
34%
25%
42%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 0
TAP
62%
20%
19%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
PAY
19%
23%
58%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
SCI
1 - 3
PAR
15%
18%
67%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
PAY
2 - 0
PAR
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 2
PAY
13%
21%
66%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | +1 |