Tuggen vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LUZ
2 - 4
TUG
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 0
TUG
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TUG
3 - 1
WIN
77%
15%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
STG
0 - 2
TUG
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TUG
1 - 2
SCH
49%
22%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MEN
1 - 2
WIN
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
STG
2 - 0
MEN
47%
25%
29%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MEN
1 - 0
SCH
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 1
MEN
41%
25%
35%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MEN
2 - 2
GCB
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |