Tuggen vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
STG
3 - 2
TUG
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
TUG
1 - 1
GCB
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 2
TUG
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
TUG
3 - 1
WIN
74%
16%
11%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
TUG
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
MEN
3 - 0
LUZ
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
SCB
2 - 0
MEN
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MEN
1 - 2
FCG
51%
24%
26%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BUO
0 - 2
MEN
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MEN
1 - 2
YFJ
20%
25%
56%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |