Tucanes FC vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
POL
2 - 1
TUC
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TUC
2 - 1
MET
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
TUC
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
TUC
57%
25%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
TUC
3 - 1
REA
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
URE
2 - 1
SCG
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
MIN
3 - 1
URE
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
MET
1 - 0
URE
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
POL
2 - 3
URE
49%
25%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
URE
1 - 1
CAR
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |