Tucanes FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
57.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 0
TUC
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
TUC
2 - 0
TRU
19%
26%
56%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ANZ
2 - 0
TUC
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TUC
3 - 1
MET
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
URE
1 - 1
TUC
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 1
LLA
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
LAR
18%
24%
58%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
LAR
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 2
TRU
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |