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Oberliga. Bayern Nord, Matchday 27

Vatanspor vs TSV Karlburg analysis

Vatanspor TSV Karlburg
8 ELO 8
9% Tilt -41%
12318º General ELO ranking 11496º
464º Country ELO ranking 357º
ELO win probability
60%
Vatanspor
25.6%
Draw
14.3%
TSV Karlburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
Vatanspor
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
14.3%
Win probability
TSV Karlburg
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vatanspor
-21%
-41%
TSV Karlburg

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vilzing
81
81
50%
SpVgg Ansbach
81
81
50%
ATSV Erlangen
72
72
100%
Eintracht Bamberg
68
68
100%
ASV Neumarkt
61
61
100%
DJK Bamberg
56
56
100%
DJK Gebenbach
52
52
50%
Ammerthal
52
52
50%
TSV Abtswind
51
51
100%
Feucht SC
10º
50
50
10º
100%
Grossbardorf
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Bayern Hof
12º
39
39
12º
100%
ASV Cham
13º
32
32
13º
100%
Würzburger FV
14º
31
31
14º
50%
Vatanspor
15º
31
31
15º
50%
TSV Karlburg
16º
30
30
16º
100%
Seligenporten
17º
21
21
17º
100%
1. FC Sand
18º
20
20
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vatanspor
TSV Karlburg
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
50% 0%
Relegation playoffs
50% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

TSV Karlburg
TSK
Vatanspor
TSV
Bayern Hof
BAY
DJK Bamberg
DJJ
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vatanspor
Vatanspor
1%
X%
2%
ELO TSV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2022
VIL
Vilzing
6 - 0
Vatanspor
TSV
46%
27%
27%
129 129 0 -2
18 Mar. 2022
FEU
Feucht SC
3 - 0
Vatanspor
TSV
46%
27%
27%
130 131 1 -1
12 Mar. 2022
TSV
Vatanspor
2 - 2
Ammerthal
AMM
44%
27%
29%
130 116 14 0
04 Mar. 2022
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
4 - 0
Vatanspor
TSV
46%
27%
27%
146 146 0 -1
26 Feb. 2022
TSV
Vatanspor
1 - 2
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
47%
27%
26%
137 97 40 0

Matches

TSV Karlburg
TSV Karlburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO TSK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2022
TSK
TSV Karlburg
1 - 3
Ammerthal
AMM
44%
27%
29%
129 115 14 -1
12 Mar. 2022
TSK
TSV Karlburg
0 - 3
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
46%
27%
27%
130 133 -3 -1
05 Mar. 2022
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
2 - 0
TSV Karlburg
TSK
45%
27%
28%
146 69 -77 -1
29 Jan. 2022
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
14 - 0
TSV Karlburg
TSK
49%
26%
25%
146 278 132 -70
18 Apr. 2022
TSK
TSV Karlburg
1 - 6
ASV Cham
ASV
46%
27%
28%
136 182 -46 0