TSV Sasel vs Curslack-Neuengamme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8%
4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
3º
1º
23
1º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
THA
1 - 0
SAS
18%
20%
63%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAS
1 - 0
HEB
83%
10%
6%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
SUD
0 - 2
SAS
27%
21%
53%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RUG
3 - 1
SAS
11%
16%
74%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SAS
1 - 1
VHG
73%
15%
13%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Curslack-Neuengamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CUR
0 - 3
WIL
35%
21%
44%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 3
CUR
45%
22%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CUR
3 - 3
OSD
37%
22%
42%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CUR
0 - 2
ALT
23%
21%
55%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UTO
2 - 1
CUR
54%
20%
26%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |