Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
HOF
1 - 1
KOL
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BYM
4 - 0
HOF
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
HOF
3 - 2
KAI
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
S04
0 - 1
HOF
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
HOF
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
M05
1 - 3
BYM
11%
18%
71%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
KOL
4 - 2
M05
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
M05
1 - 1
BRE
26%
23%
51%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
KAI
0 - 1
M05
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
M05
0 - 1
WOL
38%
26%
37%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |