Hoffenheim vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
81.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
16º
15º
82
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
WOL
2 - 2
HOF
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MON
4 - 4
HOF
47%
25%
29%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
HOF
2 - 3
BVB
16%
20%
65%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
SCF
3 - 2
HOF
55%
23%
23%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
HOF
2 - 0
M05
31%
24%
45%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
BYM
2 - 0
MON
79%
14%
7%
|
100 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
RBL
3 - 3
BYM
13%
17%
70%
|
100 | 98 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
BYM
3 - 0
M05
81%
13%
6%
|
100 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
HEI
0 - 4
BYM
5%
11%
84%
|
100 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
INT
2 - 2
BYM
43%
22%
35%
|
100 | 100 | 0 | 0 |