Madagascar League Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Tsaramandroso vs CS-Disciples analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
41.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+415%
+1177%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tsaramandroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 1
TFF
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
COA
3 - 4
TFF
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TFF
2 - 6
SFJ
21%
21%
59%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AJE
1 - 3
TFF
74%
16%
11%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FAN
5 - 0
TFF
75%
16%
10%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CS-Disciples
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
INA
1 - 2
CSD
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CSD
4 - 1
ZFC
20%
21%
60%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +3 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CSD
2 - 0
MMA
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +4 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CFF
1 - 0
CSD
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CSD
1 - 0
3FB
14%
19%
68%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | +2 |