Non League Premier . Semi-finals

Truro City vs Poole Town analysis

Truro City Poole Town
47 ELO 47
-8.1% Tilt 14%
5239º General ELO ranking 5528º
220º Country ELO ranking 237º
ELO win probability
40.8%
Truro City
25.4%
Draw
33.8%
Poole Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
Truro City
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.8%
Win probability
Poole Town
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Truro City
-21%
-42%
Poole Town

ELO progression

Truro City
Poole Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Truro City
Truro City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2023
NOR
North Leigh
1 - 2
Truro City
WHI
15%
20%
65%
46 33 13 0
19 Apr. 2023
WHI
Truro City
4 - 0
Salisbury City
SAL
72%
18%
10%
46 30 16 0
17 Apr. 2023
WHI
Truro City
1 - 0
Bracknell Town FC
BRA
21%
23%
56%
45 52 7 +1
15 Apr. 2023
WHI
Truro City
2 - 0
Metropolitan Police
MET
43%
25%
32%
43 42 1 +2
10 Apr. 2023
WHI
Truro City
1 - 3
Plymouth Parkway
PLY
59%
23%
18%
44 37 7 -1

Matches

Poole Town
Poole Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2023
HEN
Hendon
0 - 4
Poole Town
POO
14%
21%
65%
46 31 15 0
19 Apr. 2023
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
2 - 1
Poole Town
POO
41%
25%
35%
46 45 1 0
15 Apr. 2023
POO
Poole Town
1 - 0
Harrow Borough
HAR
82%
13%
5%
46 24 22 0
10 Apr. 2023
DOR
Dorchester Town
1 - 6
Poole Town
POO
11%
20%
69%
45 27 18 +1
07 Apr. 2023
POO
Poole Town
2 - 1
North Leigh
NOR
70%
18%
12%
46 34 12 -1
X