Truro City vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
OXF
1 - 2
WHI
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
WHI
0 - 2
SUT
40%
27%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAI
0 - 0
WHI
34%
24%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
WHI
3 - 1
BAT
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HEM
2 - 1
WHI
38%
24%
39%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DAR
2 - 0
MAI
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
EBB
1 - 1
DAR
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
DAR
3 - 1
BIS
48%
24%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HAV
2 - 0
DAR
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
MAI
2 - 1
DAR
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |