Truro City vs Bognor Regis Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
WEA
2 - 1
WHI
45%
24%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HAM
0 - 2
WHI
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
WHI
1 - 1
HAM
39%
24%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
WHI
4 - 1
YEL
69%
18%
14%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
EAS
1 - 2
WHI
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BOG
1 - 3
CHI
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
OXF
1 - 0
BOG
40%
24%
35%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
DAR
3 - 1
BOG
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
EAS
0 - 2
BOG
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BOG
2 - 2
GLO
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |