Trujillo vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
63.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
ADL
1 - 1
TRU
36%
27%
37%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
TRU
3 - 1
UCL
25%
28%
47%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
MIA
3 - 1
TRU
26%
27%
47%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
TRU
0 - 2
BAD
25%
29%
46%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
TRU
1 - 2
VIL
27%
27%
46%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
JER
1 - 2
MCB
67%
21%
13%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
UDF
0 - 5
JER
15%
23%
62%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
JER
2 - 0
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
COR
1 - 1
JER
14%
23%
64%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
JER
1 - 0
DBN
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |