Trujillanos vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
LAR
3 - 0
TRU
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
TRU
1 - 0
POR
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
LAL
0 - 1
TRU
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
TRU
0 - 0
CFC
26%
29%
46%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
TRU
0 - 0
LAR
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
EST
1 - 2
YAR
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 2
EST
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
EST
1 - 3
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
EST
3 - 2
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
68%
19%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |