Trujillanos vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 3
TRU
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 2
TRU
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TUC
1 - 0
TRU
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
TRU
0 - 0
ATL
62%
22%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 5
TRU
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
IVT
1 - 1
OLM
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 3
IVT
26%
26%
49%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
IVT
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
IVT
3 - 0
CUE
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
IVT
0 - 0
UCE
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |